NFL Week 7 props that pop: Herbert, two RBs and anytime TDs to target
Last week I felt as if I were on a long and lonesome highway, east of Omaha after all three of my bets failed to cash. First, Marvin Harrison Jr. left early with a concussion. Obviously, his health is what’s most important here, but it was still a bummer to lose a bet by the second quarter of a game. Then, the Detroit Lions did exactly what I thought they were going to do: utilize their running backs to dominate the Cowboys banged-up defensive line. That’s great, right? Actually, no. David Montgomery didn’t hit his mark of 10 receiving yards, and even though the game script worked out perfectly in our favor, CeeDee Lamb fell well short of his receiving line and didn’t find the end zone.
That brought me to 0-3 on the day. Some weeks it just seems like you’re running against the wind. Oh, and on top of that, my Lions lost potential DPOY Aidan Hutchinson to a brutal season-ending injury. I felt like a beautiful loser, because some weeks, you just can’t have it all. So, just like my guy Bob Seger, I was ready to turn the page on last week. (Quick note, my dad and his band opened a concert for Seger long before I was born, which I’ve always thought was cool.) So, from dad, Mr. Seger and myself, how about we all turn the page and look ahead to Week 7. If you’re a Ramblin’ Gamblin’ Man like me, I hope you enjoy a new edition of props that pop! — Daniel Dopp
All odds as of publication time. For the latest odds, visit ESPN BET.
Quarterback props
0:47
Ladd McConkey’s fantasy outlook for Week 7
Explore Ladd McConkey’s fantasy numbers as he prepares for his Week 7 matchup against the Cardinals.
Justin Herbert OVER 249.5 passing yards & Ladd McConkey anytime touchdown (+950)
Loza: It’s my birthday so I’m celebrating with some spicy picks. Yes, Herbert is tethered to a low-volume passing offense, but he still has a canon. He also threw for 237 yards (without surrendering a single pick) against a stout Broncos’ defense. Pat Surtain II’s early exit certainly made Herbert’s job easier, but even a Surtain-less Denver Broncos squad is stiffer than the Arizona Cardinals. Arizona’s passing defense ranks either last or close to the bottom in nearly every metric including completion percentage, yards per attempt and completions of 10-plus yards allowed while also registering the seventh-fewest pressures.
Arizona Cardinals passing defense
| Comp pct | 72% (31st) |
| Yards per att | 8.1 (31st) |
| 10-yard comp | 61 (T-28th) |
| Pressures | 50 (26th) |
In a game with a spread of 2.5 there should be enough volleying to push Herbert to the over. Leaning on the team’s No. 1 WR is how he’ll best accomplish that task. McConkey leads all Bolts’ pass catchers in routes run, targets drawn, receptions and receiving yards. He found the end zone in Week 5 and nearly managed a second trip during the first quarter of Week 6. With red zone looks in back-to-back efforts and facing a Cardinals squad that has allowed the sixth-most scores to opposing WRs (8), McConkey should find six Sunday.
Running back props
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Is Bijan Robinson hitting his stride in fantasy?
Tristan H. Cockcroft breaks down Bijan Robinson’s fantasy production in the Falcons’ win in Week 6.
It’s not too late to play the No. 1 fantasy game
Jordan Addison OVER 49.5 receiving yards (-120) 2 Related Loza: It has been a rocky start to Addison’s second year as a pro. He has exactly three catches in each of his three outings. Despite missing two games due to an ankle issue, the 22-year-old ranks second among the team’s WRs in looks. He struggled mightily against the Jets’ stout secondary back in Week 5 but will be fully rested and coming out of a bye. Addison figures to rebound into fantasy flex territory. The 5-0 Vikings will host a surging Lions squad for an NFC North showdown this Sunday. Detroit will be without star DE Editor’s Picks
