NFL Week 10 betting nuggets
Miami, Cincinnati, Pittsburgh and Green Bay have been the best teams against the spread so far this season, all 6-2 ATS. Dallas has been the worst at 1-8 ATS.
Here are the top things to know for each game in Week 10.
Odds listed are from Caesars Sportsbook by William Hill and subject to change.
Sunday’s games
Houston Texans at Cleveland Browns (-3), 1 p.m. ET
• Houston is 0-5 ATS as an underdog, and 0-4 ATS on the road.
• Houston is 1-7 ATS and 0-5 ATS against teams with winning records.
• Since the start of the 2008 season, these teams have faced off five times, with Houston covering in all five games.
• Cleveland is 15-31-1 ATS coming off a loss since the start of the 2016 season.
• All four of Cleveland’s games against teams with losing records have gone over the total.
Washington at Detroit Lions (NL), 1 p.m. ET
• Washington is 4-12-1 ATS in games that follow a loss since the start of last season.
• Detroit is 2-9 ATS since the start of last season in November or later.
• Detroit has failed to cover at home this season (0-3 ATS).
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Los Angeles Chargers at Miami Dolphins (-2.5), 4:05 p.m. ET
• Miami has covered in four consecutive games. Miami is also 4-1 ATS as a home favorite since the start of the 2018 season. Miami is 15-5 ATS since its Week 5 bye last season, the best mark in the league.
• Miami is covering by an average of 11.2 points per game this season, on pace to be the best mark in the Super Bowl era (current high: 1967 Oakland,11.1).
• In the 12 games between these two franchises since the start of the 2002 season, the total has gone under 11 times.
• Los Angeles (A) is 10-4-2 ATS as a road underdog under Anthony Lynn.
• Los Angeles (A) is 2-8 ATS in November or later since the start of last season.
• Five straight Los Angeles (A) games have gone over the total. The over is 5-2 in Justin Herbert starts.
Buffalo Bills at Arizona Cardinals (-1.5), 4:05 p.m. ET
• In games against teams with winning records, Buffalo games have gone over the total five of six times this season.
• Buffalo is 1-4 ATS in its past five games overall, and in its past five road games.
• Unders are 6-2 in Arizona games this season.
• Arizona is 1-5 ATS as a home favorite since 2018.
Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Rams (-1.5), 4:25 p.m. ET
• Since drafting Russell Wilson in 2012, Seattle is 23-10-2 ATS as an underdog, the best mark in the NFL during that span.
• Los Angeles (N) is 6-1 ATS in its past seven games following a loss, and 5-1 ATS in its past six games as a home favorite.
• Los Angeles (N) is 12-7 ATS against NFC West opponents under Sean McVay (12-5 ATS in past 17 games).
• Los Angeles (N) is 9-2-2 ATS following a bye week since the start of the 2007 season (2-1 under McVay).
• The total has gone over in each of the past five Los Angeles (N) games.
San Francisco 49ers at New Orleans Saints (-9.5), 4:25 p.m. ET
• Since the start of last season, San Francisco is 6-1 ATS as a road underdog, the second-best mark in the NFL in that situation (Chiefs 2-0).
• The over is 7-1 in New Orleans games this season, and 4-0 when New Orleans is home.
• Since the start of last season, San Francisco is 9-3 ATS on the road, the third-best mark in the NFL during that span.
• Drew Brees is 10-16 ATS as the Saints’ starter when favored by nine or more points.
Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers (-9.5), 4:25 p.m. ET
• Cincinnati is 3-0 ATS in its past three road games, and its past three games as an underdog.
• In the past 10 seasons, Cincinnati is 31-16-2 ATS as a road underdog, the second-best cover percentage in the NFL in that situation during that span.
• Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS against teams with winning records this season.
• Pittsburgh has covered each of its past three home games.
• Underdogs are 15-6-2 ATS in AFC North games since 2018.
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Baltimore Ravens (-7) at New England Patriots, 8:20 p.m. ET
• New England is 12-3 ATS and 10-5 SU as a home underdog under Bill Belichick. This is the first time New England has been a home underdog since Week 9 of 2014 (+3 vs. Denver, won outright). In the past 15 seasons, New England has won all three times it has been a home underdog. Overall, New England has won six of the past seven times it has been a home underdog, with all seven games going over the total.
• This is the most points New England has gotten as a home underdog since 2001.
• Since the start of the 2006 season, New England is 21-7 ATS as an underdog.
• Lamar Jackson is 11-2-2 ATS on the road in his career.
• New England is 10-0 ATS in games that come off fewer than six days of rest since the start of the 2016 season.
• Baltimore is 9-2 ATS in November or later since the start of last season.
• In all four of the meetings between these two teams since the start of the 2013 season, the total went over.
Monday’s game
Minnesota Vikings (-2.5) at Chicago Bears, 8:15 p.m. on ESPN
• Kirk Cousins is 0-9 ATS and SU in his career on Monday nights — the worst marks of any quarterback in the Super Bowl era. Seven of the nine losses are by two scores, and three of the losses came as a favorite.
• Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its past six games.
• Minnesota is 40-22-1 ATS as a favorite under Mike Zimmer.
• Since the start of the 2013 season, Minnesota is 40-20-2 ATS in November or later.
• Chicago is 10-4-1 ATS in its past 15 games as a home underdog (4-3 ATS under Matt Nagy).
• Cousins is 5-2 ATS as a road favorite since joining Minnesota in 2018.
• All five NFC North divisional games have gone over the total this season. Last year, NFC North games were 9-3 to the under.
• Home underdogs in divisional games are 11-2 ATS this season.
